Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.034883 0.040643 0.046981 0.054464 0.063045 0.072568 0.083924
2025-08-24 0.026489 0.034049 0.043135 0.054819 0.069398 0.086941 0.109598
2025-08-31 0.020222 0.028356 0.038921 0.053554 0.073187 0.098495 0.133445
2025-09-07 0.017081 0.025844 0.038020 0.056000 0.081662 0.116716 0.167913
2025-09-14 0.014078 0.022843 0.035795 0.056062 0.086636 0.130615 0.198106
2025-09-21 0.011443 0.019821 0.032931 0.054569 0.088912 0.140682 0.223753
2025-09-28 0.009597 0.017657 0.030948 0.053982 0.092255 0.152431 0.252918
2025-10-05 0.008774 0.017028 0.031285 0.057066 0.101650 0.174344 0.299966
2025-10-12 0.007916 0.016168 0.031062 0.059104 0.109452 0.194384 0.345910
2025-10-19 0.006696 0.014407 0.028957 0.057491 0.110682 0.203507 0.374440
2025-10-26 0.005819 0.013148 0.027571 0.056946 0.113651 0.215755 0.409325
2025-11-02 0.004955 0.011755 0.025703 0.055195 0.114107 0.223476 0.436763
2025-11-09 0.004246 0.010581 0.024128 0.053862 0.115309 0.232881 0.468638
2025-11-16 0.003761 0.009819 0.023292 0.053915 0.119232 0.247759 0.512193
2025-11-23 0.003235 0.008858 0.021873 0.052523 0.120025 0.256643 0.545062
2025-11-30 0.003037 0.008662 0.022138 0.054849 0.128870 0.282291 0.613293
2025-12-07 0.002714 0.008087 0.021431 0.054871 0.132723 0.298142 0.663180
2025-12-14 0.002351 0.007327 0.020160 0.053390 0.133039 0.306625 0.698592
2025-12-21 0.002082 0.006775 0.019314 0.052804 0.135307 0.319429 0.744201
2025-12-28 0.002009 0.006776 0.019890 0.055821 0.146346 0.352327 0.835905
2026-01-04 0.001895 0.006631 0.020058 0.057816 0.155141 0.381002 0.920715
2026-01-11 0.001655 0.006041 0.018919 0.056233 0.154972 0.389325 0.960743
2026-01-18 0.001481 0.005628 0.018208 0.055699 0.157359 0.403748 1.015850